Monday, September 1, 2014

The morning after: What happens when a government destroys its currency

September 1, 2014 Dallas, Texas Imagine this scene: “Everyone in the country was in shock. People’s net worth had devalued more than 53% overnight.” “The value in savings accounts dropped in half and neither merchants nor consumers knew how to react because they had never been through something like it before…” This is how an American business executive described living through Mexico’s devaluation of the peso exactly 38 years ago on September 1, 1976. Looking back, it was so obvious. Mexico had a mounting debt, destructive policies, and a woefully unsustainable fixed exchange rate with the US dollar. All the writing was on the wall. But most people ignored the warning signs and kept their money in pesos. Mexican President Luis Echevarria even went out on the radio to reassure people that the currency was safe. Finally, under intense fiscal pressure, the government reached its breaking point. And on August 31, 1976, they made the decision to devalue the peso. People woke up the next morning on September 1st to a 50%+ decline. Coincidentally today is also the 75th anniversary of the Nazi invasion of Poland, the event that ultimately dragged the world into war. Germany had already invaded Austria and Czechoslovakia in the months before. By May 1939 Hitler had stated very plainly, “the decision remains to attack Poland at the first opportunity.” Even a week before the invasion, Hitler told his military commanders, “I have prepared .



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